Saints vs. Commanders odds, line, start time: 2024 NFL picks, Week 15 predictions from proven computer model - sports news foot

The New Orleans Saints (5-8) will try to keep their slim playoff hopes alive when they face the Washington Commanders (8-5) on Sunday afternoon. New Orleans has won three of its last four games, including a 14-11 win over the Giants last week. The Saints are two games back of Tampa Bay in the NFC South, while Washington currently occupies the final NFC wild-card spot. The Commanders snapped a three-game losing streak with a 42-19 win over Tennessee before having a bye last week. Derek Carr (hand/concussion) is listed as doubtful for New Orleans and Jake Haener is expected to start at quarterback. 

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Caesars Superdome. The Commanders are favored by 7.5 points in the latest Saints vs. Commanders odds, while the over/under is 43.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Commanders vs. Saints picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 15 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 25-11 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, it is on a 205-139 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 59-32 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Washington vs. New Orleans. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:

• Saints vs. Commanders spread: Commanders -7.5
• Saints vs. Commanders over/under: 43.5 points
• Saints vs. Commanders money line: Commanders -383, Saints +302
• Saints vs. Commanders picks: See picks here
• Saints vs. Commanders streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Saints can cover

New Orleans has found some magic late in the season, winning three of its last four games to stay two games behind Tampa Bay atop the NFC South. The Saints picked up wins over the Falcons and Browns before beating the Giants on the road last week. 

Star running back Alvin Kamara has 938 rushing yards and six touchdowns while catching a team-high 64 passes for 485 yards and another score. The Saints have won four of the last six meetings between these teams, and they have won six of their last nine December games. Washington is just 1-6 in its last seven games in December. See which team to pick here. 

Why the Commanders can cover

Washington lost three straight one-possession games in November, but it responded with a 42-19 win over Tennessee two weeks ago. Star rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels had 206 passing yards and three rushing touchdowns to go along with 43 rushing yards and another touchdown. He is having a fantastic rookie campaign, racking up 2,819 passing yards, 590 rushing yards and 21 total touchdowns. 

Third-year running back Brian Robinson Jr. is coming off his third 100-yard outing of the season, finishing with 103 rushing yards and a touchdown against Tennessee. Washington had an extra week to rest and prepare for this game, while New Orleans is coming off a trip to New York. The Commanders are 8-3-1 against the spread in their last 12 games. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Saints vs. Commanders picks

The model has simulated Commanders vs. Saints 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins New Orleans vs. Washington on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Commanders vs. Saints spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 205-139 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.